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The numbers war between NCP Chairman Sharad Pawar and his nephew Ajit Pawar flared up afterwards Separate meetings called by both sides in Mumbai gave an advantage to the rookie Pawar With the open support of at least 29 MLAs.
But the key figure to watch out for is 36. If 36 or more MLAs out of the 53 NCP go with Ajit Pawar, then they can be part of the ruling coalition without fear of disqualification.
So what are the key factors that will seal the deal when payment comes due?
Why Ajit Pawar?
personal loyalty Ajit Pawar has been involved in state politics for more than four decades and has built close relationships with a large number of local leaders. He has been the decision-maker of the National Congress Party for a long time and has held key positions in the government of Maharashtra. In the provinces of western Maharashtra, he has almost developed a cult of active supporters. This is most evident in Pune, the home region of both leaders, where most MLAs seem to have sided with Ajit.
Strength benefits: Sworn in on Sunday as deputy prime minister along with eight other MLAs as ministers, Ajit Pawar could use the power and perks that come with the position to attract more support.
Fear of retribution: Little Pawar is known in the state as a grudge-sucking chief, pursuing those who have harmed him with all his might. MLAs are probably afraid of angering Ajit Pawar by hurting him at this crucial point on the back of their minds when they make the decision.
age factor: Ajit Pawar, who will turn 64 later this month, is likely to remain active and influential in state politics for at least a decade, if not more, and that seems to be playing in his favour. NCP leaders with long-term political ambitions are seen on his side rather than Pawar Kabir.
Why Sharad Pawar?
Legacy and loyalty: As a political leader, the Maratha chief enjoys loyalty and respect not only from politicians but also from the public over several decades. This factor will play a huge role for some MLAs who have been in the fray for a long time. This is the main factor that leaders close to Sharad Pawar are using to attract more MLAs to their camp.
2024 Assembly Election Tickets: With the Ajit Pawar faction joining the BJP-Sena, some NCP MLAs in its camp from constituencies with a strong BJP presence are unsure whether they will get a ticket for the Maharashtra assembly elections in 2024. This could be a deciding factor sooner. to the elections, and some of them are likely to return to Sharad Pawar’s camp.
Aversion to BJP: There are many NCP MLAs, especially from urban constituencies and Marathwada district, who are ideologically opposed to the BJP or fear that they will lose the support of Muslim and Dalit voters if they join the NDA alliance.
Power strength: The fear of Sharad Pawar personally campaigning against a candidate is a real fear for many. More than that, the former MP of Satara and descendant of Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj, Udayan Raje Bhosale, lost the Lok Sabha bypoll after switching to BJP. The embarrassing loss has been attributed to Pawar’s rallies against the sitting MP. This time, the great Pawar has already made it clear that he will launch a campaign to ensure that those who left him will lose in the next elections.
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