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that it The seismic shift that apparently changed the political terrain of Maharashtra And Aftershock threats Haven’t calmed down yet.
the Split in the National Congress Party (NCP) on 2 July It led to a realignment in state politics, with the BJP, Shiv Sena, and Ajit Pawar faction of the NCP mounting against the depleted Maha Vikas Agadi comprising Congress, the Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackeray), and Shrad Pawar’s faction of National Congress Party. by It caused major cracks in two of the largest opposition coalition partiesThe BJP now finds itself in a position where it can realistically increase its tally in the Lok Sabha elections. This step also serves the purpose of cutting the MVA to size and A blow to the national unity project of the opposition At a time when Pawar was playing a major role in bringing all parties together.
Last time around, the BJP won 23 seats (as in 2014), with its then ally Shiv Sena capturing 18 constituencies. The tally of 41 out of 48 is a massive number in a state with the highest number of Lok Sabha seats after Uttar Pradesh. the Congress is the only opposition party left in Maharashtra with a similar cadre basebut managed to win only one parliamentary constituency last time and is not in a position to prevent the BJP and its allies from winning in Maharashtra.
We need more seats than last time. We will fight in alliance with (CM) Shinde ji. We’ve done it twice, so a third time is also possible,” Vice Prime Minister BJP’s Devendra Fadnavis said recently at Idea Exchange program Indian Express. “Idealism is good, but if you get fired, who cares?”
For the BJP, maximizing its potential and winning as many seats as possible from Maharashtra is crucial if it wants to offset potential losses in other states and close comfortably at more than 300 seats. The ruling party cannot risk seeing its 2019 tally reduced by 60-70 seats, which would leave it ever more vulnerable and subject to the pull and pressure of allies and the opposition. It was probably this urgency that persuaded the BJP leadership to accept Ajit Pawar and his group. Thus, Maharashtra is an important piece for the BJP on the chessboard in national politics, something the party has to protect and nurture if it wants significant distance between itself and the opposition.
Also, a few months ago after that Loss of Kasbah Bayt Fort after 28 yearsIt is likely that the ruling party has realized that simply having the Shiv Sena led by Prime Minister Eknath Shinde on its side will not be enough in next year’s Lok Sabha and General Assembly elections and that it will need to deal the MVA with a knockout. With Ajit Pawar always willing to make a change – his 2019 rebellion was undone by his uncle Sharad Pawar’s counterattack – it wasn’t too hard.
With state politics now entering the three-party phase, it remains to be seen how the dynamics change and how they operate at the constituency level. It will not be easy for the BJP as there is ambiguity in its rank and file opposition to accepting ‘outsiders’ into the alliance, people who fear they will claim their share of the pie when it comes to the crucial matter. next year’s elections. If nothing else, next year’s seat-sharing negotiations will be a complicated matter. Amidst the breakneck speed of developments in Maharashtra politics, state BJP chief Chandrashekhar Pawankul made it clear what the BJP had in mind. “In any alliance, we have to make some adjustments. What cannot be overlooked is electoral gains.”
Also, a lot will depend on How is the battle between the National Congress Party between the son and the uncle going on?. The BJP hopes Ajit can easily retain the NCP’s traditional voting base and strongholds, mostly in western Maharashtra. In his public statements, the new deputy prime minister has been playing the victim card to win the support and sympathy of NCP workers. His approach was to show how his uncle had wronged him and to draw the villain. He also checks the point that Pawar’s own policies have never been ideologically consistent. But the veteran leader has strategically avoided personal confrontation and made clear that his target will be the BJP, something that is relevant to national politics as well and ensures that he protects his image as a leader who can rally – and has in the past – rallied like-minded parties against the BJP despite an apparent split within his own party. and his family.
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