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North Korea’s latest long-range missile increases the chances of a strike on the US mainland, giving it Kim Jong Un More leverage in his dealings with the Biden administration.
the Hwaseong-18 A solid-fuel intercontinental ballistic missile North Korea fired this week flew longer than any ICBM and appeared designed to carry multiple nuclear weapons, increasing the likelihood that at least one bomb would slip through interceptors and make its way to a target.
Video released by North Korea of ​​the Hwasong-18 showed that the missile has the ability to stabilize itself in flight, indicating that it could be designed to carry multiple warheads, according to an analysis from George William Herbert, associate professor at Middlebury. Institute of International Studies.
North Korea said in April when it fired the missile for the first time that Pyongyang planned to use it in several warheads. Testing this week indicates a MIRV carrier for the missile, Herbert said, referring to a multiple warhead carrier technically known as the Multiple Independently Targeted Reentry Vehicle, or MIRV.
“The second flight seems to be going well showing that it’s a successful design overall, not just a one-off lucky test,” he said.
North Korea released videos of the test on state television, showing the missile emerging from its enclosure and being lifted to the launch site. The footage contained footage taken from various angles by several cameras, including one of a drone flying overhead without being hit by a passing missile.
The senior uniformed US military officer said the test had caught the attention of the US, adding that analysis was under way on what could yet be distinguished from the weapon.
“This thing, if it can reach the United States, it can reach Europe as well,” General Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters Friday during a visit to Tokyo. “So the test they did that day is very problematic.”
The missile, which has been launched twice this year, is an improvement over the intercontinental ballistic missiles Kim tested in 2017 that sparked global concern. Weapons experts said ICBMs at the time were capable of carrying one bomb and were liquid-propellant, which made them vulnerable to attack before launch as it took time to fill their engines with fuel on the platform.
Solid fuel missiles contain the propellants trapped in the missiles, allowing them to remain hidden from spy satellites, and to be launched and launched in a matter of minutes, giving the United States less time to prepare for an interception. The challenge becomes greater if the missile carries multiple warheads instead of one.
However, it is unclear whether ICBMs are capable of defeating anti-missile systems and whether the warheads can survive atmospheric re-entry to reach their targets.
Kim’s ability to deliver a credible nuclear strike on the United States could reduce the chances of Washington attempting a preemptive strike on his regime and raise the stakes for what would have to be done to tempt him to get rid of his arsenal.
The success of the Hwasong-18 launches was a remarkable achievement coming from a country that lacked experience with large, multistage solid-propellant rockets prior to these tests, according to Ankit Panda, senior fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
“How North Korea achieved such an astounding level of success with its solid-fuel ICBMs remains a mystery, but Kim Jong-un would have few complaints,” Panda wrote in an analysis for NK Pro.
Panda said the two Hwasong-18s were flown from the same location in the Pyongyang region, which may raise questions about their ability to be transported by land. He added that the site may have been chosen because it is close to one of Kim’s palaces, making it a comfortable place for the leader.
Kim oversaw the latest test and warned the US and South Korea that more are on the way unless they back down from their military operations that included bringing more US nuclear assets to the region. His state also threatened to shoot down American spy planes, which last happened in 1969, killing all 31 people on board.
As part of this strategy, Pyongyang appears to be working on silo-based ballistic missiles and missiles that can carry multiple warheads, said Joost Ullmanns, a weapons expert who co-authored the book North Korea’s Armed Forces. This may increase the ability to launch a retaliatory strike.
North Korea has also fielded and tested the Hwasong-17 in recent months. It is a liquid-fuel missile and is considered by weapons experts to be the largest intercontinental ballistic missile that is suitable for roads and can carry a payload of three nuclear bombs.
North Korea has been miniaturizing its warheads for years, allowing them to be used in a variety of weapon systems. Kim visited the warhead facility in March, and analysis of what was presented to the leader from the open nuclear network showed progress.
It said that the warheads that North Korea displayed before 2023 had a maximum diameter of 600 mm, while its new nuclear warhead, Hwasan 31, shown in the photos from Kim’s visit, had a diameter of about 460 mm, indicating progress in miniaturization.
The device has not been tested, but satellite images of the site North Korea used in all six previous explosions of nuclear devices indicate the facility has been in place for more than a year.
Russia and China, which have veto power in the United Nations Security Council, allowed sanctions to go ahead to punish Kim for ballistic missile tests in nuclear devices in 2017, but blocked new sanctions on Pyongyang for its latest series of nuclear-capable missiles. Friction with the United States increased.
There were few, if any, consequences of the missile tests. So the question is, how serious would the consequences be for Kim if he conducted a seventh nuclear test? said Soo Kim, a former CIA Korean analyst who now works for US-based management consulting firm LMI.



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